If I will do this, then this will happen, and if i do this differently then that may happen. Yes, it is what we all keep doing. We all try to define our future steps by planning things and then thinking that this will happen in the end. But what we lack is we see things with our strength and ability. We forget that some people posses ‘can do attitude’ and once they decide to do something, they continue working on it until they get success.
Same is true in technology world as well. Many people from technology world has been predicting, but most of the predictions were cause of a laugh when that time came and prediction turned false. Following is a list of 30 best predictions which never came true. Lets know about them.
1. High speed Rails
Dr Dionysys Larder (1793-1859) predicted that
“Rail travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to breathe, would die of asphyxia”.
2. Making of a Ship against Wind
When Napoleon Bonaparte was told of rober Fulton’s steamboat in 1800, his statement was
“How, sir, would you make a ship sail against the wind and currents by lighting a bonfire under her deck? I pray you, excuse me, I have not the time to listen to such nonsense.”
3. Railroads is a bad system
Martin Van Buren, Governor of New York, in 1830 wrote to the president that
“Dear Mr. President: The canal system of this country is being threatened by a new form of transportation known as ‘railroads’ … As you may well know, Mr. President, ‘railroad’ carriages are pulled at the enormous speed of 15 miles per hour by ‘engines’ which, in addition to endangering life and limb of passengers, roar and snort their way through the countryside, setting fire to crops, scaring the livestock and frightening women and children. The Almighty certainly never intended that people should travel at such breakneck speed”.
4. Telephone has Shortcomings
It was printed in a memo at Western Union in 1878 ( or may be 1876) that
“This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us”.
5. Electric Light will Close as well
Oxford professor Erasmus Wilson predicted that
“When the Paris Exhibition [of 1878] closes, electric light will close with it and no more will be heard of it”.
Today, we can’t expect life without electricity.
6. British Post don’t Need Telephone
It seems British were not believing on fast communications. In 1878, British Post Office gave a statement that
“The Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys”.
How backward thought they were having.
7. X-rays will be nothing but a Hoax
In 1883, the president of Royal Society Mr Lord Kevin stated that
“X-rays will prove to be a hoax”.
8. Alternating Current – A waste of time
Thomas Edison was an American inventor. In 1889 he commented that
“Fooling around with alternating current is just a waste of time. Nobody will use it, ever”.
Edison was fond of passing ridiculous arguments against his competitor George Westinghouse for AC power.
9. Impossible Flight of Machines Heavier than Air
“Flight by machines heavier than air is unpractical and insignificant, if not utterly impossible.”
This was predicted by Simon Newcomb. The prediction turned false when The Wright Brothers flew at Kitty hawk 18 months later.
10. Very Poor Energy by an Atom
Ernest Rutherford predicted that
“The energy produced by the breaking down of the atom is a very poor kind of thing”.
He gave his statement just after splitting the atom for the first time. He further stated that
“Anyone who expects a source of power from the transformation of these atoms is talking moonshine.”
11. Submarine will do Nothing
HG Wells was a British novelist. In 1901, he stated that
“I must confess that my imagination refuses to see any sort of submarine doing anything but suffocating its crew and floundering at sea”.
Wish he was still alive to see how submarines are playing a role in defense of a country.
12. Automobile will Never Replace Horse
We can see how automobile has replaced horses. But in 1903, the president of Michigan Savings Bank advised Henry Ford’s lawyer not to invest in Ford Motor Co. According to him,
“The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty – a fad”.
This means he was not trusting on mechanical engineering at all.
13. Transmitting voice across the Atlantic
In 1913, Lee DeForest sold the stock of his Radio Telephone Company by making a prediction that
“It would be possible to transmit the human voice across the Atlantic before many years”.
14. People want to see flesh and blood
In 1916, Charlie Chaplin, the actor, producer, director and studio founder, stated that
“The cinema is little more than a fad. It’s canned drama. What audiences really want to see is flesh and blood on the stage”.
It has been proved that audience is more interested towards love stories
15. Cavalry will Never be Replaced by Iron Coaches
In 1916, Aide-de-camp passed his comment to Field Marshal Haig at the tank demonstration that
“The idea that cavalry will be replaced by these iron coaches is absurd. It is little short of treasonous”.
16. Wireless Music box has no Value
When Associates of David Sarnoff was asked to invest in the radio in 1921, he stated that
“The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to no one in particular?”.
In modern era, people love going wireless.
17. Projecting Man in Gravitational Field
In 1926, Lee DeForest again predicted that
“To place a man in a multi-stage rocket and project him into the controlling gravitational field of the moon where the passengers can make scientific observations, perhaps land alive, and then return to earth – all that constitutes a wild dream worthy of Jules Verne. I am bold enough to say that such a man-made voyage will never occur regardless of all future advances”.
The thing to remember is that Lee DeForest was inventor of the vacuum tube as well.
18. Bigger Plane?
“There will never be a bigger plane built”.
A Boeing engineer, after the first flight of the 247, a twin engine plane that holds ten people. We can see Airbus A380 in action.
19. Nuclear Energy will not be Obtainable
In 1932, Albert Einstein stated that
“There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will”.
20. Rocket will never leave Earth’s atmosphere
In 1936, New York Times predicted that
“A rocket will never be able to leave the Earth’s atmosphere.”
21. The bomb will never go off
In 1945, Admiral William D. Leahy, Chief of Staff to the Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy during World War II, advised President Truman on the atomic bomb that
“This is the biggest fool thing we have ever done. The bomb will never go off, and I speak as an expert in explosives.”
22. Television won’t Capture any Market
In 1946, Darryl Zanuck predicted that
“Television won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night”.
Darryl was a movie producer of 20th Century Fox.
23. Television is a Flash
Mary Somerville, the pioneer of radio educational broadcasts stated that
“Television won’t last. It’s a flash in the pan”.
He passed his statement in 1948 after the introduction of Television in market.
24. Market for Copying Machines
IBM passed a statement to the eventual founders of Xerox that
“The world potential market for copying machines is 5000 at most.”
Furthermore, saying that
“the photocopier had no market large enough to justify production”.
The statement was passed in 1959.
25. Communication Space Satellites
T. Craven, FCC Commissioner in 1961 stated that
“There is practically no chance communications space satellites will be used to provide better telephone, telegraph, television, or radio service inside the United States.”
26. Computers in Home
This was made by Ken Oslon, the president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corporation (DEC). In 1977, he passed a statement against computers which was that
“There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.”
Being a founder of DEC, a maker of big business mainframe computers, he was still stating against computers which was really hilarious.
27. Music Recording will Kill Music
In 1980, a campaign was started by BPI claiming that people recording music off the radio onto cassette would destroy the music industry. The slogan for the campaign was set as
“Home Taping Is Killing Music”.
28. Heavier than Air Flying Machines
“Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible”;
29. Nuclear-powered Vacuum Cleaners
Another interesting prediction made by Alex Lewis, president of vacuum cleaner company – Lewis Corporation, was
“Nuclear-powered vacuum cleaners will probably be a reality in 10 years”.
30. 32-bit Operating System
Another hilarious prediction was made by Bill Gates, the CEO of Microsoft corporation, that
“We will never make a 32 bit operating system”.
The prediction turned false when Windows 98 was released by Microsoft.